Japan's Science and Technology Forecast for 2018: Full Breakout of AI, AR and VR

With the trend of technology in 2018, Japan's names AI, AR, and VR will grow explosively. Among them, smart speakers that are remanded by global technology leaders will be considered as revolutionary products that will set off the next wave of trends.

Japan, which attaches importance to fashion trends, will always carry out “big predictions” at the beginning of the New Year. In terms of science and technology, various media in 2018 are not unique and both are optimistic about the development of smart speakers (SmartSpeaker).

Smart speaker

Killer app with Internet access

Smart speakers are considered to be new digital products for post-smart phones. "Ring Weekly" analysis of the significance of smart speakers lies in changing the user interface. When consumers use the terminal device, from the computer keyboard to the computer icon, and then to the mobile phone screen, the next revolution is directly through the voice of the instructions.

In addition to the United States, Japan is also a battleground for smart speakers. At the end of 2017, Google's GoogleHome in the United States, ClovaWAVE in Japan's LINE, and Amazon Echo in the United States' Amazon have come out in Japan one after another. Users put up wake-up words such as “OK Google”, “Clova”, “Alexa”, etc., and speak out the demand. The natural language processing technology of AI (Artificial Intelligence) can grasp the content, respond with voice or action, and can also pre-set the home Lighting, cleaning and other functions. Among them, Amazon Echo has a 70% market share in the United States. It is also considered to be a best-selling product that surpasses the e-book Kindle.

"Toyo Economic Weekly" pointed out that all technology companies are fully developing smart speakers, and they hope to seize "the last blank space" in the digital marketing market earlier. Because smart phones increase the time for people to access the Internet, there are still times when they cannot access the Internet, such as eating, driving, and doing housework. If they use voice, they can access the Internet with just one mouth. Nikkei Trendy believes that the best-selling product in 2018 will be the smart speaker, because it can use this machine to call out a variety of AI functions, as well as ask experts to search for food, music and other issues. Now that every family has a speaker, there may be one for everyone in the future. When parents and parents want to get up and get up, they don't have to go to their room and they can use the speaker.

Of course, it still has many obstacles to overcome. At present, the most user response is that the accuracy of identification and response is not high enough. The development of a more natural dialogue technology will be a key year in 2018. In addition, the combination of this service and revenue will be the next key point. If it can be applied to advertising earlier, it is expected to bring in revenue. Looking to the future, each individual can only continue to invest in this war regardless of cost.

VR, AR

Significantly lower price thresholds for new models

The two words VR (Virtual Reality) and AR (Augmented Reality) began to appear frequently in our daily life about 2 years ago. 2016 was considered to be the first year of VR, and AR was a gift to Baibao Dream Mobile Games. The effect was widely known by many people, but the popularity of these two technologies in 2017 was very slow.

According to the survey, among VR's three leading brands, the market with the highest market share is Sony's VR device PlayStationVR. At the end of 2017, the cumulative global shipments were about 2 million units, followed by Facebook's Oculus Rift, and the third was HTC's Vive. "Toyo Economic Weekly" pointed out that the reason for the slow popularity is that the barriers to experience are too high, and the VR device itself must be around 50,000 yen, and it must also purchase a high-performance personal computer or PS4.

Therefore, companies have successively developed new models. HTC launched the VR-one ViveFocus, which is scheduled to be launched in China in January 2018, and will cost approximately RMB 4,000 to experience. Oculus also plans to launch the all-in-one OculusGo in early 2018 at a price of around US$200.

In addition, the content is also the key. Most of the current users are those who like games and technology. After the developers cut prices, they actively think about how to attract more ethnic groups and avoid playing dizzy situations for a long time.

In fact, AR and VR technologies still have a lot of application space. For example, real estate agents use VR to allow customers to browse inside before buying a home; retail trades display physical stores in virtual space, allowing consumers to shop online even when they are shopping. It seems to be in person to shop. AR can be used to reinforce people's abilities, such as projecting road information, driving data, etc. on the windshield of a car, so that drivers do not need to move their eyes and focus on the road ahead to improve safety. Such a head-up display (HUD) The popularity of ) is due to the advancement of AR technology.

In addition, MagicLeap, which has raised $2 billion from Google and other companies and has not introduced any products, finally announced its AR glasses MagicLeapOne in December 2017 after being established for seven years. It claims to be visually and soundly realistic, and is not prone to dizzy. Dizzy, scheduled to launch creator version in 2018. So this year is worth looking forward to AR and VR innovative technologies. It is expected that the market size will reach 120 billion U.S. dollars in 2020.

AI

Super-computing dream computer will come out

In addition to smart speakers, AR, and VR, AI is expected to be applied in various industries in 2018, which will rapidly expand the market. Companies are expected to have more cooperation, such as industrial robots and the medical industry, automotive-related companies in autopilot Active cooperation, development of new technologies and new areas are also worth the wait.

The AI-specific semiconductor development competition will be even more intense. In addition to the widely used nVidia graphics processor (GPU), Google has also developed a deep learning processor (DLU). Intel and Fujitsu do not let nVidia specialize in Previously, AI-specific processors were developed separately. Survey firm Tractica predicts that from 2017 to 2025, the average annual growth rate of the AI ​​market size will be about 57%.

In addition, the Nikkei Industry News also made predictions about new technologies in 2018. First, the commercialization experiments of quantum computers will continue. The quantum computer known as the "Dream Computer" has a computing power that can be 100 million times that of existing computers. It is currently led by Canada's D-Wave system and IBM of the United States. However, NTT and Fujitsu are not to be outdone, and computers using quantum mechanics are being developed. From November 2017, the Japanese government launched the Quantum Neural Network (QNN) cloud system, which is open to the public to try out future technology. Although there are still many topics for commercialization, more and more such experiments will be conducted in the future.

"Nikkei Industrial News" also predicts that by 2018, tailor-made products using the Internet of Things will greatly increase. StartToday, the company that runs the shopping site Zozotown, introduced Zozosuit, a tights that can be worn to measure the body. The garment is covered with sensors. After the consumer puts on the sensor, the sensor can measure the size of 15,000 places in the whole body. The purpose of the development is to make it unnecessary for consumers to actually try on it, but also to buy fit on the Internet. clothes.

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